Friday, May 30, 2014

Middle-Class Home Ownership Must Be a Bipartisan Priority

REAL ESTATE TOPICS

In recent years, the dialogue on Capitol Hill has been dominated by a debate about the economic well-being of the middle class. Years of sluggish growth, widening inequality and a deep sense that the nation’s global economic leadership is slipping have rightfully focused the public, policymakers’ and media attention on middle-class economic concerns.
From infrastructure and the minimum wage, to trade pacts, tax reform and domestic energy production, both parties have wrangled over competing visions of how to spur growth and restore economic mobility. These are all critically important policy debates that deserve bipartisan leadership. However, if the nation really wants to boost middle-class economic security, expanding homeownership needs to return to the top of the public policy agenda.
For decades, the purchase of a first home was the hallmark of middle class arrival and the foundation of financial security for aspiring families. Steadily growing homeownership rates were seen as a proxy for the nation’s progress in making the American Dream a reality for as many Americans as possible. Moreover, broad-based home ownership exemplified the uniquely American sentiment that ordinary people could control their own destinies and move ahead through hard work and responsibility.
Today, many middle-class Americans, especially recent college graduates, wonder if the dream of homeownership is just that — a dream.
Young professionals and working families face a number of challenges that previous generations did not, including a stubbornly sluggish job market, rising student loan obligations, and living expenses in most large metropolitan areas that far outpace starting salaries. In particular, the traditional path that college graduates follow from graduation to shared apartments to saving money for their first home is becoming harder and harder to traverse.
The homeownership rate continues to drop and currently stands at 65 percent, the lowest rate in nearly two decades. Fast-forward a generation or two and imagine an American in which a minority of people are homeowners. While still unlikely, this once-unthinkable notion cannot be dismissed out of hand if current trends continue.
The economic implications of a potentially sustained decline in homeownership are profoundly troubling. Homeownership strengthens families, communities and the overall economy like virtually nothing else can. Homeownership is not just an indicator of economic growth; it’s a cause. Declining home ownership is an indicator of, well, decline.
That is why expanding home ownership has long been a bipartisan aim and must be again. What would an agenda in support of that goal include?
First, preserve what works. The mortgage interest deduction has been a remarkably effective mechanism to help make homeownership a reality for scores of millions of Americans. It is inextricably embedded into American homeowners’ financial planning. It is no exaggeration to say that slashing this powerful incentive could destabilize housing markets. Members of Congress should send homeowners a clear message that they can count on this time-tested and overwhelmingly popular provision to stay intact.
BECOME A CALIFORNIA REAL ESTATE AGENT. CLICK LINK BELOW...
Second, take prudent, incremental steps to improve the availability of credit for qualified applicants, as the Federal Housing Finance Agency has recently done. To be sure, we are still recovering from a financial crisis brought about in part by lax lending standards and financial institutions’ risky investments in extremely complex and unregulated mortgage-backed securities. But nearly six years after the crash, overly stringent lending standards continue to limit the availability of responsible, affordable mortgage financing even for credit worthy consumers.
We should not let the sins of Wall Street’s past punish Main Street in perpetuity. While the crash is fresh in our minds, we should also remember that decades’ of pro-homeownership policies helped build the American middle class and power our postwar rise to global economic leadership. While recent steps from the administration are welcome, the country needs a strong message from both ends of Pennsylvania Avenue that we are at long last moving forward to restore the responsible flow of housing credit would have a powerful psychological effect on lenders, borrowers, investors, developers and realtors alike.
Third, address the student loan debt crisis. Congress should discuss potential ideas to reduce this growing burden on the middle class. In 2013, student loans accounted for 9 percent of total household debt at $1.027 trillion, tripling from 3 percent of household debt in 2003. Student loans have helped generations of families finance education, but as the cost of education rises to a greater level of household debt, we are limiting the ability of a generation of college graduates to spend their resources on saving for down payments, buying consumer goods, saving for their future and preparing for retirement — all things that must happen to grow the middle class.
Finally, and most importantly, we simply need national leadership on this issue from both parties. Given the centrality of homeownership to economic recovery, no platform to boost the fortunes of the middle class should be considered complete without a homeownership agenda.
Everyone understands we are living in a politically polarized era, but a robust pro-homeownership plan is the kind of unifying issue that could win support from a wide swath of voters across the spectrum. Regardless of political party, most Americans want the American Dream to remain a reality.

Thursday, May 29, 2014

Experts agree: There's no better time to buy a home than now. Find out why.

REAL ESTATE TOPICS

By Lee NelsonMay 28, 2014 12:41 PM

Timing is everything when it comes to a lot of things - baking a soufflé, fertilizing your lawn, and buying a home. Not so sure about that last one? With interest rates going up and housing prices on the rise, you may think that it might not be the best time to purchase a home or even refinance the one you've got. But experts disagree.
"It is a big deal to buy a house. But if you do your homework and have the right documentation ready, this could be a great time to buy a home for many reasons," says Jay Plum, executive vice president of Huntington National Bank, in Cincinnati, Ohio.
Read on for the five major reasons why mortgage experts believe that there is no better time than the present to get that dream house you've always wanted.
Reason #1: Interest rates won't stay this low forever
"A reason to look now into buying a home or refinancing is because these rates won't stay [put] forever. That's what rates do - they go up," says Plum.
In fact, the interest rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage is expected to go up to 5 percent by the fourth quarter of this year and 5.3 percent by the end of 2015, according to a recent forecast by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA).
Why are rates rising? Well, one huge factor is that the feds will start raising rates about six months after they stop buying mortgage bonds, which is projected to happen sometime in 2015, says Plum.
"[Rates] probably won't start shooting up quickly. But a quarter of a point on an interest rate can mean about $100 more each month on [a homeowner's] loan. For a lot of families, that can make a big difference," he says.
Reason #2: Credit score requirements are lowering
Is your credit score lower than you'd like to admit? Well, good news: Credit score requirements for borrowers taking out mortgages are easing.
In March, credit scores on purchase mortgages stood at 755, down from 761 in the previous year, according to data from Ellie Mae, a mortgage-software provider. Credit scores for FHA loans dropped even lower to 684, compared to 696 a year earlier.
What brought on this change? The 2014 market is expected to be a more purchase-focused market, says Vickee Adams, vice president of external communications for Wells Fargo Home Lending.
"Having a broader credit score range will serve to attract more borrowers into the market," she explains.
But why is there a need to attract more borrowers? Well, the demand for refinancing has dropped considerably. Refinance applications are about 70 percent slower than a year ago and are expected to continue to decline, according to a statement by the MBA in April 2014. As a result, banks are trying to find ways to boost lending to homeowners, including lowering credit score minimums.
Reason #3: Spring and summer are the best times to buy a home
It has been a brutal winter, and people who wanted to sell their house just didn't want to bother with all the snow and cold weather, says Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors in Washington, D.C. The same goes for people wanting to buy a home - they just stayed put, he adds. 
"Many people who were forced to delay putting their house up for sale are doing so now. But spring has always been an important time in the real estate business,” Yun says. In fact, warmer seasons like spring and summer have always been a popular time to buy a home.
People think about moving during summer vacation, because their kids will be out of school then, which helps makes things easier, says Yun. Buying a new home in the summer gives families enough time for the closing and moving before school starts again.
No kids? Summer is still a popular time to sell or buy even for people without children. And it's not just because the weather is nicer.
"People just know that there are more listings coming in the spring and more buyers," Yun says. "But from a buyer's perspective, there will be more competition from other buyers."
BECOME A CALIFORNIA REAL ESTATE AGENT. CLICK LINK BELOW...
Reason #4: Buying is still cheaper than renting
Buying a house is a significant purchase, but in most parts of the country, it's cheaper than renting. If that seems counterintuitive, let's look at recent research by Trulia, an online residential real estate site for home buyers, sellers, renters and real estate professionals.
According to Trulia, homeownership compared to renting continues to be the less expensive way to live in all of the 100 largest metro areas researched. The study compared the costs of renting and owning assuming homebuyers get a 4.5 percent mortgage rate on a 30-year fixed term loan with 20 percent down.
So why should people buy a home now? The gap is getting smaller between the two choices because of rising mortgage rates and home prices, says Jed Kolko, Trulia's chief economist and author of the report.
"Now, at a 30-year fixed rate of 4.5 percent, buying is 38 percent cheaper than renting nationally, versus being 44 percent cheaper one year ago," Kolko says in the report. "Some markets might tip in favor of renting this year as prices continue to rise faster than rents, and if - as most economists expect - mortgage rates rise, due both to the strengthening of the economy and Fed tapering."
However, the percentage is different in every housing market. In Honolulu, buying is only 5 percent cheaper than renting, while in Detroit, buying is 65 percent cheaper than renting.
Reason #5: Home values are still competitive
Are you looking for a bungalow with a white picket fence, a modern metropolitan penthouse, or a cabin in the woods? Well, it might be time to buy your dream abode before prices go too high.
The good news is that that the prices of homes have gone up but haven't skyrocketed, so they're still within reach of many buyers. The median existing home price for all housing types in February 2014 was $189,000, which is up 9.1 percent from last February, according to recent press release by the National Association of Realtors (NRA).
Plus, the housing inventory rose 6.4 percent to 2 million existing homes available for sale, reports the association. So there are more homes to choose from during your search depending on where you live.
"Property values are still very competitive in most markets, but there is a tremendous amount of competition by buyers," Plum says. "If you are looking at buying a home, be prepared to offer quickly, and get preapproved by a lender which will make things go easier."

FAST FACTS

REAL ESTATE TOPICS

CALIFORNIA

FAST FACTS
Calif. median home price: April 2014:
  • California: $449,360
  • Calif. highest median home price by region/county April 2014: Marin, $1.007 million
  • Calif. lowest median home price by region/county April 2014:
    Del Norte, $147,500
Calif. Pending Home Sales Index:
April 2014: Decreased 0.5 percent from 114.4 in March to 113.8 in April.
 
Calif. Traditional Housing Affordability Index: First Quarter 2014: 33 percent (Source: C.A.R.)

Mortgage rates: Week ending 5/22/2014 (Source: Freddie Mac)
  • 30-yr. fixed: 4.14% fees/points: 0.6%
  • 15-yr. fixed: 3.25% fees/points: 0.5%
  • 1-yr. adjustable: 2.43% Fees/points: 0.4%
 
BECOME A CALIFORNIA REAL ESTATE AGENT. CLICK LINK BELOW...

April pending and distressed sales report

REAL ESTATE NEWS

CALIFORNIA

For release:
May 22, 2014
Share of equity home sales rises to highest level in more than six years as higher home prices buoy more underwater homes
LOS ANGELES (May 22) – Recent home price gains have lifted more underwater homes into positive territory, pushing the share of equity home sales to their highest level since late 2007.  At the same time, pending home sales were essentially unchanged in April, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today. 
Distressed housing market data:
• The share of equity sales – or non-distressed property sales – continued to increase in April, rising to 88.4 percent in April, up from 87.6 percent in March.  After a slight decline at the end of 2013, equity sales have been rising steadily again since the beginning of this year.  April marks the 10th straight month that equity sales have been more than 80 percent of total sales. Equity sales made up 75.4 percent of sales in April 2013.
• The combined share of all distressed property sales continued to decline in April, thanks to a drop in short sales.  The share of distressed property sales was down from 12.4 percent in March to 11.6 percent in April.  Distressed sales continued to be down by more than 50 percent from a year ago, when the share was 24.6 percent.
• Twenty-six of the 41 reported counties showed a month-to-month decrease in the share of distressed sales, with 13 of the counties recording in the single-digits, including Alameda, Marin, San Benito, San Diego, San Luis Obispo, San Mateo, and Santa Clara counties — all of which registered a share of five percent or less.
• Of the distressed properties, the share of short sales dropped to levels last observed in April 2008 at 5.9 percent, down from 6.6 percent in March.  April’s figure was nearly a third of the 14.7 percent recorded in April 2013.
• The share of REO sales only dipped slightly in April to 5.3 percent, down from 5.4 percent in March.  REO sales are now nearly half of what they were a year ago, when REOs made up 9.4 percent of all sales in April 2013. 
• A drop in active listings of equity and REO properties tightened the housing supply in April, causing a decline in unsold inventory across all property types.  The Unsold Inventory Index for equity sales dropped from 4 months in March to 3.6 months in April.  The supply of REOs slipped from 2.8 months in March to 2.3 months in April, and the supply of short sales declined from 4.7 months in March to 4.4 months in April.

BECOME A CALIFORNIA REAL ESTATE AGENT. CLICK LINK BELOW...

Pending home sales data:
• California pending home sales were essentially unchanged from March, with the Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI)* dipping 0.5 percent from 114.4 in March to 113.8 in April, based on signed contracts.  The month-to-month change was substantially lower than the 6.5 percent drop from March to April observed in the last three years.
• Pending sales were down 6 percent from the revised 121.1 index recorded in April 2013.  The year-over-year decline in the PHSI has been tapering over the past few months and should level off in the coming months.  Pending home sales are forward-looking indicators of future home sales activity, providing information on the future direction of the market.
Charts (click link to open):
• Pending sales compared with closed sales.
• Historical trend in the share of equity sales compared with distressed sales.
• Closed housing sales in April by sales type (equity, distressed).
• Housing supply of REOs, short sales, and equity sales in April.
• A historical trend of REO, short sale, and equity sales housing supply.
• Year-to-year change in sales by property type.
Share of Distressed Sales to Total Sales
(Single-family)
Type of SaleApr-14Mar-14Apr-13
Equity Sales88.4%87.6%75.4%
Total Distressed Sales11.6%12.4%24.6%
     REOs5.3%5.4%9.4%
     Short Sales5.9%6.6%14.7%
     Other Distressed Sales (Not Specified) 0.5%0.5%0.5%
All Sales 100.0%100.0%100.0%
Single-family Distressed Home Sales by Select Counties
(Percent of total sales)
CountyApr-14Mar-14Apr-13
Alameda4%6%9%
Amador22%30%40%
Butte18%19%27%
Calaveras18%18%36%
Contra Costa6%9%11%
El Dorado15%15%22%
Fresno19%22%38%
Glenn23%38%27%
Humboldt13%17%20%
Kern19%17%31%
Kings23%28%40%
Lake26%27%49%
Los Angeles12%13%24%
Madera17%14%47%
Marin5%6%10%
Mendocino27%14%24%
Merced12%17%44%
Monterey13%10%37%
Napa6%13%23%
Orange7%7%13%
Placer9%11%23%
Plumas35%40%NA
Riverside15%14%32%
Sacramento16%17%32%
San Benito4%9%22%
San Bernardino18%21%35%
San Diego4%4%10%
San Joaquin19%20%43%
San Luis Obispo4%7%17%
San Mateo2%4%11%
Santa Clara4%5%10%
Santa Cruz9%9%18%
Shasta20%20%37%
Siskiyou24%28%34%
Solano14%19%43%
Sonoma9%9%22%
Stanislaus15%15%37%
Sutter17%23%NA
Tulare24%21%34%
Yolo12%14%34%
Yuba28%24%NA
California12%12%25%
NA = not available
Follow us on Twitter @CAR Media and @CAREALTORS®
Like us on Facebook.
*Note:  C.A.R.’s pending sales information is generated from a survey of more than 70 associations of REALTORS® and MLSs throughout the state.  Pending home sales are forward-looking indicators of future home sales activity, offering solid information on future changes in the direction of the market.  A sale is listed as pending after a seller has accepted a sales contract on a property.  The majority of pending home sales usually becomes closed sales transactions one to two months later.  The year 2008 was used as the benchmark for the Pending Homes Sales Index.  An index of 100 is equal to the average level of contract activity during 2008.

Pending Sales of U.S. Existing Homes Increased 0.4% in April

REAL ESTATE NEWS

  May 29, 2014 7:00 AM PT


Photographer: Daniel Acker/Bloomberg
The pending home sales index climbed 0.4 percent after a 3.4 percent increase in March...

Contracts to purchase previously owned homes rose for a second month in April, a sign the residential real estate market is stabilizing after a weak start to the year.
The pending home sales index climbed 0.4 percent after a 3.4 percent increase in March that was the first gain in nine months, the National Association of Realtors said today in Washington. The median projection in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for the April index to rise 1 percent.
Housing demand has cooled as higher prices and borrowing costs put ownership out of reach for some prospective buyers. While mortgage rates have been falling in recent weeks, an improving employment outlook and easier access to credit would provide an additional push for the industry.
“The housing market is getting better,” Patrick Newport, an economist with IHS Global Insight in Lexington, Massachusetts, said before the report. “Going forward we don’t think it’s going to be a drag, it’s going to be a positive for growth.”
Estimates in the Bloomberg survey of 36 economists ranged from a decline of 1.5 percent to an advance of 4.2 percent.
BECOME A CALIFORNIA REAL ESTATE AGENT. CLICK LINK BELOW...
Purchases fell 9.4 percent from the year prior after a 7.5 percent decrease in the 12 months that ended in March, the association reported.
The pending sales index was 97.8 on a seasonally-adjusted basis. A reading of 100 corresponds to the average level of contract activity in 2001, or “historically healthy” home-buying traffic, according to the NAR.
Pending home sales rose 5 percent in the Midwest and 0.6 percent in the Northeast. Contract signings declined 2.9 percent in the West and 0.6 percent in the South.

Leading Indicator

Economists consider pending sales a leading indicator because they track new purchase contracts.Existing-home sales are tabulated when a contract closes, usually a month or two later.
“Higher inventory levels are giving buyers more choices, and a slight decline in mortgage interest rates this spring is raising prospective home buyers’ confidence,” NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun said as the report was released.
Home sales have been slow to emerge from a slump early this year. New property sales posted their first gain in three months in April, climbing 6.4 percent to a 433,000 annualized rate, Commerce Department data showed last week.
Gains in home prices have started to cool as tight lending standards limit demand. The S&P/Case-Shiller index of property values in 20 cities climbed 12.4 percent in March from a year ago, the smallest 12-month gain since July, data this week showed.

Recent Slowdown

Housing began to slow in the middle of 2013, with residential investment becoming a drag on the economy during the last two quarters, its worst six-month performance since the first half of 2009.
Homebuilding subtracted 0.16 percentage point from gross domestic product in the first quarter after a 0.26 percentage-point hit in the final three months of 2013, figures from the Commerce Department showed today. The economy shrank 1 percent last quarter, the first contraction in three years.
Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen has flagged housing as a risk to the economy and Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William C. Dudley last week said he was surprised by the industry’s weakness.
Home-improvement retailers including Lowe’s Cos. and Home Depot Inc. (HD) are reporting improved outlooks after an unusually cold and snowy weather slowed sales.

Mixed Market

“Although signals from the housing market are mixed, with existing home sales declining in recent months while home values continue to increase, we believe stronger job and income growth and gradually loosening credit conditions indicate that the environment for home improvement spending should remain favorable,” Lowe’s Chief Executive Officer Robert Niblock said.
“Homeowners increasingly believe that improvements made to their homes will increase their value and consumers’ views around personal finances continue to improve,” Niblock said on a May 21 earnings call. “We believe underlying home improvement industry demand remains intact, despite pressures exerted by unfavorable weather in the first quarter.”