Monday, November 30, 2015

REAL ESTATE NEWS...U.S. Housing Can Withstand a Rise in Interest Rates

U.S. Housing Can Withstand a Rise in Interest Rates

Low interest rates, steady job gains and improving household finances have helped bolster the housing recovery. And even as 2015’s strong first half has given way to some wobbly months of late, housing fundamentals appear primed to withstand a looming U.S. rate increase.
Monday’s report on pending home sales, a key tool in measuring buying momentum, should confirm that trend. Tracked by the National Association of Realtors, it measures purchases of previously owned homes and is based on signed contracts, making it a leading indicator of sorts for the broader housing market. Home sales typically close within a couple months after signing.
While pending home sales hit a nine-year high in May, they have slipped on a monthly basis in three of the past four months. Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal expect a 1.5% rise in October from a month earlier. And the year-over-year trend remains positive.
The recent stretch evokes fears of what transpired in mid-2013, following the so-called taper tantrum. Back then, interest rates spiked and home sales slumped as the Fed indicated it could start to cut back on monetary stimulus.
The average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage surged over a percentage point from April through August in 2013. And pending home sales peaked that June before falling 12% by year’s end. Only this February did pending home sales bounce back to June 2013 levels.
Even so, the taper tantrum caught markets by surprise. Today, there is little shock value in the expected rate increase. And housing conditions remain favorable ahead of the Fed’s big move. The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was 3.8% in October, the lowest since April, according to Freddie Mac.
The loosening of credit conditions also has helped the housing market. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac cut down-payment standards late last year. The Federal Housing Administration earlier this year reduced the premium it charges for insuring mortgages.
Higher rates are coming, perhaps in a few weeks. Don’t expect them to take an immediate toll on housing.

REAL ESTATE NEWS...US pending home sales edge up in October




WASHINGTON (AP) — Slightly more Americans signed contracts to buy homes in October, a modest rebound after two prior monthly declines. The figures add to evidence that the housing market has lost some of its momentum after rapid sales growth earlier this year.
The National Association of Realtors said Monday that its seasonally adjusted pending home sales index rose 0.2 percent to 107.7 last month. The index has increased 3.9 percent over the past 12 months.
Healthy job gains and low mortgage rates boosted sales for much of the year, but rising home values and limited inventories have limited further growth in the closing months of 2015.
The Realtors reported last week that finalized sales have risen 3.9 percent from a year ago, even as buyers have fewer choices because the number of listings on the market has dropped 4.5 percent. A narrow selection of homes on the market has pushed up sales prices 5.8 percent from a year ago to a median of $219,600.
Pending sales are a barometer of future purchases. A lag of a month or two usually exists between a contract and a completed sale.
The housing market had benefited from hiring that has cut unemployment to 5 percent, down from 5.7 percent a year ago. Average hourly earnings have improved 2.5 percent over the past year — that slight increase enhanced by low inflation. But wage growth has failed to match the rise in home values, forcing more would-be homebuyers to wait and save for a down payment.
Also aiding sales have been lower borrowing rates. Mortgage rates remain well below their historic average of 6 percent. The average, 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 3.95 percent last week, according to mortgage buyer Freddie Mac.
But the market is still recovering more than six years after the end of the Great Recession. Home sales have been uneven in different geographic regions. The number of signed contracts advanced in the Northeast and West, while dipping in the Midwest and South.

REAL ESTATE NEWS...California Housing Market


California’s housing market softened in October as both statewide sales and median price contracted from the previous month; however, the market is still on target to meet forecast projections, according to the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.).
Making sense of the story
  • Home sales exceeded the 400,000 level in October for the seventh consecutive month and posted higher on a year-to-year basis for the ninth straight month.
  • Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California totaled a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 403,510 units in October, according to information collected by C.A.R. from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations and MLSs statewide.
  • The October figure was down 5.1 percent from the revised 425,120 level in September and up 1.3 percent compared with home sales in October 2014 of a revised 398,510.
  • The year-to-year increase was the lowest since January 2015 and was significantly below the six-month average of 9.7 percent observed between April 2015 and September 2015.
  • The median price of an existing, single-family detached California home slipped 1.3 percent in October to $475,990 from a revised $482,150 in September.
  • October’s median price was 5.7 percent higher than the revised $450,460 recorded in October 2014.
  • While sales continued to improve from last year at the state level, the number of active listings continued to drop from the previous year. Active listings for California dropped 5.6 percent from September and decreased 7.6 percent from October 2014.


TALKING POINTS …
  • About 0.38 percent of loans went into the foreclosure process during the third quarter, which is the lowest rate since the second quarter of 2005, according to a new report from the Mortgage Bankers Association.
  • About 3.57 percent of loans were at least 90 days past due, the lowest rate since the third quarter of 2007. A healthy job market and rising home prices have led to a steady abatement of the foreclosure crisis over the past five years.
  • Now, the foreclosure problem is largely isolated to loans made before 2009 and a few intractable markets that have been slow to process them.

REAL ESTATE TOPICS...U.S. housing starts hit seven-month low; setback seen as temporary

U.S. housing starts in October fell to a seven-month low, weighed down by a steep decline in the construction of multi-family homes, but a surge in building permits suggested the housing market remained on solid ground.
While the drop in groundbreaking activity reported by the Commerce Department on Wednesday implied a moderation in residential investment early in the fourth quarter, it did little to change the view that the Federal Reserve would hike interest rates next month.
"Overall, fundamentals for the sector remain solid. Household formation is rising, demand for new homes is outstripping supply, and home builder confidence remains near its highest level in a decade," said Michelle Girard, chief economist at RBS in Stamford, Connecticut.
Groundbreaking dropped 11 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual pace of 1.06 million units last month, the lowest level since March, the Commerce Department said. October marked the seventh straight month that starts remained above 1 million units, the longest stretch since 2007. Building permits increased 4.1 percent to a 1.15 million-unit rate.
Rapidly rising household formation, mostly driven by young adults leaving their parental homes and a strengthening labor market, is supporting the housing sector.
Highlighting the housing market's underlying strength, a second report from the Mortgage Bankers Association showed applications for loans to purchase homes jumped 6.2 percent during the week ended Nov. 13 from a week earlier.
In the wake of the soft October housing numbers, Barclays trimmed its fourth-quarter gross domestic product estimate by one-tenth of a percentage point to a 2.2 percent annual rate.
Housing has contributed to GDP growth in each of the last six quarters, adding 0.2 percentage point to the third-quarter's 1.5 percent growth pace.
"Homebuilding may not keep the Fed from 'liftoff' but it will be their biggest concern. When Fed officials say they want to see more investment spending this recovery, they really mean residential housing construction," said Chris Rupkey, chief financial economist at MUFG Union Bank in New York.
Minutes of the Fed policy-setting committee's Oct. 27-28 meeting showed officials rallied behind a possible December increase in the U.S. central bank's benchmark overnight interest rate.
U.S. stock markets were trading higher, with the S&P homebuilding index .SPLRCHOME rising 2.15 percent. D.R. Horton Inc (DHI.N), the largest U.S. homebuilder, gained 1.69 percent. Lennar Corp (LEN.N), the nation's second-largest homebuilder, advanced 2.22 percent.
The dollar was flat against a basket of currencies. Prices for longer-dated U.S. government debt pared their losses.
LAND, LABOR SHORTAGES
Economists had forecast housing starts dropping to only a 1.16 million-unit pace last month. Many viewed the weakness in October as being related to land and labor shortages, constraints that have been flagged by home builders.
"Structural issues including a shortfall in immigrant labor are inhibiting construction. The supply shortage in the single-family market is not likely to be alleviated any time soon," said David Nice, an economist at Mesirow Financial in Chicago.
Groundbreaking on single-family home projects, the largest segment of the housing market, fell 2.4 percent to a 722,000-unit pace in October. Single-family starts were pulled down by a 6.9 percent plunge in groundbreaking activity in the South, where most home building takes place. Single-family starts rose in the Northeast, the Midwest and the West.
Starts for the volatile multi-family segment plunged 25.1 percent to a 338,000-unit pace.
Single-family building permits rose 2.4 percent last month to their highest level since December 2007. Single-family permits in the South also hit their highest level since December 2007. Multi-family building permits increased 6.8 percent.
"The October permit requests were above the starts number, and for the past three months permits have been running a little ahead of the building pace, so don't be surprised if housing activity rebounds solidly in November," said Joel Naroff, chief economist at Naroff Economic Advisors in Holland, Pennsylvania.

REAL ESTATE TOPICS...Renters aren’t saving to buy a house

Diana Olick 
Looking across the vast spectrum of housing surveys today, most will claim that the majority of renters want to buy a home eventually. That may be, but they're not saving to do that.
In fact, saving for a down payment to buy a house ranks fourth on their list of priorities, according to a survey conducted in October by Harris Poll for Freddie Mac, which helps fund loans to homeowners and apartment developers.
When asked about their savings priorities, more renters said they consider saving for emergencies (59 percent), retirement (51 percent) and children's education (50 percent) an "essential/high priority." Only 39 percent said saving for a down payment. This is particularly surprising given fast-rising rents.
Image Source | Getty Images
Rising rents, up over 5 percent annually nationwide, are affecting how renters spend their money more today compared with just a few months ago. More renters say they are making changes to spending or plans due to those higher rents. Just over half of those surveyed who have seen a rent increase in the past year say they are living payday to payday. 
"We know rents are rising faster than incomes, and now we have data to show that many renters don't have enough to pay all their debts each month, which is forcing them to make tradeoffs, such as cutting spending on other items," said David Brickman, executive vice president of Freddie Mac Multifamily.
The share of renters who say they now have to put off plans to purchase a home rose to 55 percent in October from 44 percent in the last Freddie Mac renter survey in June. This occurred even as more said they would like to buy a home and have started looking.
Add it up and the lack of affordability is the answer. Renters may be looking, but they're not buying because they are faced with rising home prices and rising mortgage interest rates.
When asked the main reason they expect to still be renting three years from now, the top three answers had to do with affordability. The fourth was not good enough credit.
There is a growing divide, however, between those who rent a single-family home and those who rent in a multifamily apartment building. Seven in 10 multifamily renters said they expect to continue renting, up from 64 percent in the previous quarter. Renters of single-family homes say they are more likely to buy a home.
"Growth in the renter segment will most likely occur through multifamily properties as more than half of those currently renting single-family properties are planning to become homeowners in the near future," said Brickman. "The data shows single-family renters are increasingly more dissatisfied than multifamily renters."
That does not bode well for the growing number of investors in single-family rental homes. Even as large-scale institutional investors slow their purchases of homes to rent, smaller-scale and individual investors are picking up the slack. The number of single-family rental homes rose 35 percent since 2006, to 15.1 million from 11.2 million, according to John Burns Real Estate Consulting. Roughly 3.9 million owner-occupied homes became rentals in that time.
Either apartment managers are doing a better job of serving their tenants than single-family rental managers, or more renters simply prefer the apartment model, which usually offers additional amenities and better locations.
"Right now we're in the golden age of the fundamentals of the multifamily business," apartment developer Richard LeFrak said on CNBC's Squawk Box. "You have a drive toward urbanization where more and more people want to live in cities."
The survey of 2,020 adults was conducted online within the United States between Oct. 8-12. Of those surveyed, 703 were renters.

Monday, November 16, 2015

REAL ESTATE TOPICS...Credit, Mortgages and Your Ability to Buy a Home: It Doesn't Have to Be Scary

The subprime mortgage crisis is still a wound that hasn't fully healed for many Americans, serving as a cautionary tale against buying a home, The fact that millions of people lost their homes is hard to forget, and many who witnessed the tragedy are leery of entering the market for fear of another housing bubble just waiting to burst.
Margaret McNeal, a housing counselor for ClearPoint Credit Counseling Solutions, a national financial counseling organization based in Atlanta, says many homebuyers didn't understand their mortgages, which became a major contributor to the housing crisis. "Primarily, people weren't educated," she says.
While the economy has largely returned to pre-recession levels, and the real estate market has recovered, many consumers are still a little gun-shy to close on a home.
John Sulzbach, a financial and housing counselor for LSS Financial Counseling in Minneapolis, likens lending to a pendulum, swinging back and forth over time, reacting to market events and borrowers. "It went from greed in 2007 to fear in 2008, '09 and '10. Now I see that pendulum is coming back to a more neutral position," Sulzbach says, adding that lenders are doing their due diligence when considering a loan and want borrowers to do the same.
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Buying a home shouldn't be scary. The key is understanding your financial situation and what you are able to afford, as well as the kind of lending you sign on for. Following the steps below will not only make buying a home possible, but a positive financial move.
Know your credit score. Potential homebuyers should know their credit score and any problem areas in their credit history, which can be obtained through a number of free providers like AnnualCreditReport.com.
With your credit report, you can spot errors and areas that require additional effort to improve your credit score, which could help get you better mortgage rates.
While a mortgage may have seemed hard to come by unless you had stellar credit during the recession and immediately following it, that's not the case today. Those with credit scores below the good rating of 700 can potentially show their creditworthiness through nontraditional credit scores, which factor in nontraditional lines of credit, such as utilities payments and rent that aren't included in a FICO score.
Sulzbach recommends using a nontraditional credit score to see what actions might best improve your credit history, rather than to actually get a home loan. He says he advised one interested homebuyer with little credit history who couldn't receive a FICO score. In that case, the buyer used a nontraditional score to see what credit areas he should work on.
Though less common, nontraditional lines of credit are used by some lenders to determine the best possible loan for a borrower, like with BECU, a credit union based in Seattle that primarily serves residents and workers in Washington. Lorraine Stewart, vice president of mortgage lending at BECU, says nontraditional sources of credit can be helpful for finding the right type of financial assistance for a member with a weak credit history.
"Many people out there today -- especially first-time homebuyers -- a lot of them haven't established a lot of credit, and so we have to look at alternative sources of credit," Stewart says.
Educate yourself and get organized. All homebuyers, whether it's their first house or fifth, should take the time to educate themselves on their finances and changes to government regulations on lending.
McNeal says homebuyer workshops are a great way to learn the process step by step. Many local state and city governments set up free or low-cost workshops that include conversations with real estate professionals so consumers can better understand each group they will work with, from loan representatives to home inspectors.
Banks want you to be more educated as well, McNeal says. "They're in some cases requiring that you go through some type of workshop -- whether it's online, over the phone, in person -- so that you have some knowledge of what's going to happen throughout this process," she explains.
Stewart adds that all homeowners should have the necessary documents in order to give the lender during the application process. "You're going through the biggest transaction in your life -- buying a home, especially for the first time -- and then there's someone asking for a bunch of information on top of it," she says. Pay stubs, W-2 forms and bank statements are among the required documents. You should also be prepared to explain any anomalies in your past, like a significant gap of time between jobs.
Shop the loan before the home. Meet with multiple loan representatives the same way you would meet with multiple real estate agents before choosing one. Explain your needs and get a feel for how well you fit with the lender, especially when you might be tied to the lender for up to 30 years.
When it comes to deciding between a major bank and a smaller, local lender, it ultimately comes down to personal preference. The smaller you go, the more personal experience you could have over a larger lender that might offer more online features to meet a consumer's immediate needs quickly.
Whichever lender you choose, know that their goal is to make "sound credit decisions," Stewart says. "All lenders are now tasked with the responsibility to determine if a borrower has an ability to repay the mortgage," she says.
Buy the home you can afford. While everyone has their own version of a dream home, it's imperative you stay realistic while house hunting -- going after a home you can't afford or would struggle to keep up with financially can turn that dream into a nightmare.
Before actually stepping into the world of owning a home, Sulzbach recommends that you pretend you're buying a house. If you think you can afford a certain amount in monthly mortgage payments, and the amount is more than your rent now, put the difference into savings each month. Take into account the cost of utilities and maintenance that are currently included in your rent and put that away, too. The exercise will give you a realistic view of the cost of owning a home before taking the plunge.
The additional savings will be put to good use, Sulzbach says: "Now you're saving up for that down payment."

Friday, November 13, 2015

REAL ESTATE TOPICS...High Rents Put Would-Be Homebuyers in a Catch-22

In housing markets where home values are constantly rising, first-time buyers often struggle with coming up with a down payment and end up renting versus buying a home.
Most renters are putting about 30 percent of their monthly income toward their rental payment, which makes saving for a 10 or 20 percent down payment difficult, a new Zillow report showed.
This essentially put those would-be homebuyers in a catch-22—they cannot afford a down payment because they are putting so much money toward rent, and the reason they are putting so much money toward rent is they can't afford a down payment.
"In general, paying a mortgage is more affordable than renting, and has been for some time. Unfortunately, many current renters aren't able to realize the savings that come with homeownership because as home values and rents keep rising, it's getting increasingly difficult to clear the down payment hurdle," said Dr. Svenja Gudell, Zillow's Chief Economist.
This conflict forces first-time buyers and millennials to pursue other options when looking to purchase a home, like help from family or friends. The report showed that in 2014, 13 percent of home purchases were bought using a loan or gift from friends or family for the down payment.
"It's not uncommon for a 20 percent down payment on even a modest home to represent savings of $50,000 or more in some areas."
Svenja Gudell, Chief Economist, Zillow
Affordability of rentals worsened in the last year in 28 of the 35 largest metros over the past year, while mortgage affordability worsened in 18 of them, In 34 of the largest 35 metros, rental affordability is worse than the historical average.
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"It's not uncommon for a 20 percent down payment on even a modest home to represent savings of $50,000 or more in some areas," Dr. Gudell said. "And that number itself is a moving target, rising as home values escalate and harder to achieve as more money goes to landlords and less goes to savings. Using a smaller down payment is an option, but often comes with the added cost of mortgage insurance. Knowing this, it's no wonder that many current renters are waiting longer to buy a home and are turning to alternate sources, including friends and family, to help them scrape together a down payment."

REAL ESTATE TOPICS...Four reasons why 2016 is a good time to buy a home

"All key economic indicators are ripe"
With 2016 fast approaching, now is the time for renters to get off the sidelines, start organizing their finances and take on the excitement of homeownership.
But given the recent history of the housing market and Americans’ increasing need to stay mobile, it is understandable that it can be nerve-wracking to invest your hard-earned money in a home.
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However, unlike years past, all key economic indicators are ripe and there are two major changes to the mortgage process that help make 2016 a good year to buy a home.
1. Rental rates continue to rise
With the on-going low supply and high demand of rental units, rental rates are continuing to rise. In the last 12 months, 88% of property managers have raised their rent prices. And there is no sign of that stopping given that 68% of property managers predict their rental rates will rise again in 2016.
2. Interest rates are historically low
Freddie Mac’s latest survey of lenders shows little change in the 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, which averaged at 3.89% for the month of September compared to 4.16% a year ago. Low interest rates make home buying more affordable.
3. Clear mortgage terms
The recent TRID announcement has mandated clearer terms at the closing table. For first-time homebuyers, this is a huge benefit because it will ensure there are no surprises at the closing table. These clear terms will help homebuyers better understand both their financial commitment and what is expected of them.
4. Down payment protection will be available
Writing a check for a down payment on a home is often one of the largest investments someone will make. Down payment protection is a new option that can give modern homebuyers the flexibility they need to more confidently and securely buy a home. When homebuyers put less than 20% down at closing, this kind of coverage protects their down payment just like private mortgage insurance protects the bank.
Given that the average employee tenure in the U.S. is 4.6 years overall, and 3 years for millennials, it’s understandable that the modern homebuyer may be nervous to commit to living in one location for an extended period of time.
However, the current state of the market and these major mortgage changes will help to ensure that when life happens, the homebuyer won’t be completely out of luck when it comes to protecting their nest egg.  

REAL ESTATE TOPICS...A Record Share of Young Women Are Living at Home

Women today are five times as likely to be enrolled in college than in 1940—and college students are significantly more likely to live with family than young adults who aren’t in school.
 
ALEX BRANDON/ASSOCIATED PRESS
The Great Recession nudged many millennials back to their parents’ homes, but a new analysis from the Pew Research Center shows the shift has been especially pronounced for young women.
A larger share of young American women are living with family now than at any time since the 1940s, as more of them forgo early marriage for higher education, Pew found.
In 1940, 36.2% of women age 18 to 34 lived with their parents or other relatives. That figure bottomed out around 1960, when 20.4% of women lived at home, but it climbed slowly for the next several decades and spiked in the decade leading up to and during the Great Recession.
By 2014, the share of women living with family had climbed back up to 36.4%.
“The result is a striking U-shaped curve for young women—and young men—indicating a return to the past, statistically speaking,” said author Richard Fry, a senior economist at Pew. “You’d have to go back 74 years to observe similar living arrangements among American young women.”
“Young men, too, are increasingly living in the same situation, but unlike women their share hasn’t climbed to its level from 1940, the highest year on record,” he added.
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But the reasons for the shift are markedly different than they were in the 1940s.
Women today are five times as likely to be enrolled in college than in 1940, when only 5% of 18-to-34-year-olds were pursuing a degree. Recent data shows college students are significantly more likely to live with family than young adults who aren’t in school.
Marriage prompted many young women to fly the coop in 1940, when the typical woman first married at age 21.5. By 2014, the median age at first marriage had risen to 27 for women. And the share of married young women had dropped by half, from 62% in 1940 to 30% in 2013, according to Pew.
The data tell a similar story for young men. Last year 42.8% of men lived at home—higher than women, but not at its 1940 peak, when 47.5% of them lived at home. Back then, the lingering effects of the Great Depression–including an unemployment rate of nearly 15%–likely kept more of them at home.
A July Pew report from Pew showed that a higher percentage of millennials—adults born in 1981 or later—were living with parents than in 2010, despite earning close to their prerecession wages. Declining marriage rates, higher rental costs and rising student debt may all be partly to blame.

Thursday, November 12, 2015

REAL ESTATE TOPICS...Down Payments Posing a Roadblock for Renters to Become Owners

Renting is less affordable than paying a mortgage on a monthly basis, but down payments are a barrier to many first-time buyers.

- Paying for a mortgage continues to be more affordable than renting on a monthly basis across the U.S.

- At the end of the third quarter of 2015, buyers could expect to spend 15 percent of their monthly income on a mortgage, and renters could expect to spend 30 percent of their income on rent.

- All but one of the 35 largest metros have rental affordability worse than the historical average, making it difficult for renters to save money for a down payment.

Nov 11, 2015
SEATTLENov. 11, 2015 /PRNewswire/ -- Paying for a mortgage is still more affordable than renting in the U.S., but saving enough money for a down payment has become increasingly difficult for first-time buyers, especially in markets where home values are rising rapidly.  
With the majority of renters in the largest metros putting about 30 percent of their monthly incomei toward a rental payment, saving money for a 20 percent - or even 10 percent - down payment is extremely difficult. First-time homebuyers and millennials are left trying to find other ways to break into the housing market, turning to friends and family for financial help. In 2014 alone, 13 percent of home purchases were bought using a loan or gift from friends or family for the down payment.
Rental affordability worsened in 28 of the 35 largest metros over the past year, and mortgage affordability worsened in just 18 of them.
According to a third quarter Zillow® analysis of U.S. rental and mortgage affordabilityii, residents of the Denvermetro can expect to spend about 21 percent of their income on a mortgage, compared to 34 percent on rent. In the U.S. as a whole, homeowners can expect to spend 15 percent of their income on a mortgage, and 30 percent on rent. But getting that mortgage payment requires a homebuyer to have saved $62,760 for a 20 percent down payment - the industry standard - on a median-valued Denver home, which is $313,800.
In the Boston and Miami markets, the median monthly mortgage payment requires just 22 and 20 percent of monthly income, respectively. Renting is substantially more expensive, influencing many renters to start thinking about purchasing a home; 35 percent of the median income pays the median rent in Boston, and 44 percent in Miami. However, to purchase a home in Boston, a 20 percent down payment is $76,220. In Miami, buyers need to have saved $44,680.
Breaking into the housing market is less of a challenge in more affordable markets, like Cleveland. A 20 percent down payment on the median home there is $25,000, or $12,500 for 10 percent down. Residents of Clevelandcan expect to spend 11 percent of their monthly income on a mortgage payment. Renters in Cleveland spend quite a bit more on rent: 27 percent of their monthly income.
"In general, paying a mortgage is more affordable than renting, and has been for some time. Unfortunately, many current renters aren't able to realize the savings that come with homeownership because as home values and rents keep rising, it's getting increasingly difficult to clear the down payment hurdle," said Zillow Chief Economist Dr. Svenja Gudell. "It's not uncommon for a 20 percent down payment on even a modest home to represent savings of $50,000 or more in some areas. And that number itself is a moving target, rising as home values escalate and harder to achieve as more money goes to landlords and less goes to savings. Using a smaller down payment is an option, but often comes with the added cost of mortgage insurance. Knowing this, it's no wonder that many current renters are waiting longer to buy a home and are turning to alternate sources, including friends and family, to help them scrape together a down payment."
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In 34 of the largest 35 metros, rental affordability is worse than the historical average. Pittsburgh is the only housing market where residents pay less than the historical average for rent, about 25 percent of income; historically, renters in Pittsburgh spent 27 percent.

Metro Area
% Monthly Income for Mortgage Payment
% Monthly Income for Rent
Zillow Home Value Index, Q3 2015
YoY Change in Zillow Home Value Index
20% Down Payment on Median Home
United States
15.0%
30.2%
$182,500
3.7%
$36,500
New York-Northern New Jersey
24.9%
42.0%
$379,000
1.6%
$75,800
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
39.9%
48.8%
$547,900
4.5%
$109,580
Chicago, IL
13.7%
31.4%
$191,000
2.2%
$38,200
Dallas-Fort Worth, TX
12.8%
29.6%
$173,100
15.2%
$34,620
Philadelphia, PA
14.3%
29.9%
$201,800
0.0%
$40,360
Houston, TX
12.3%
30.6%
$167,000
8.9%
$33,400
Washington, DC
17.2%
27.2%
$355,300
-0.6%
$71,060
Miami-Fort Lauderdale, FL
20.4%
43.9%
$223,400
10.4%
$44,680
Atlanta, GA
12.9%
27.2%
$164,000
5.7%
$32,800
Boston, MA
22.2%
35.1%
$381,100
5.7%
$76,220
San Francisco, CA
40.6%
47.0%
$768,000
12.0%
$153,600
Detroit, MI
10.1%
25.2%
$119,200
6.4%
$23,840
Riverside, CA
23.7%
36.4%
$293,300
5.6%
$58,660
Phoenix, AZ
17.3%
28.0%
$210,300
7.5%
$42,060
Seattle, WA
22.2%
31.7%
$359,400
8.2%
$71,880
Minneapolis-St Paul, MN
13.7%
26.0%
$213,700
3.4%
$42,740
San Diego, CA
32.3%
41.2%
$488,000
6.0%
$97,600
St. Louis, MO
11.0%
24.5%
$138,600
6.8%
$27,720
Tampa, FL
14.8%
32.9%
$156,400
7.5%
$31,280
Baltimore, MD
14.8%
28.3%
$239,200
-1.4%
$47,840
Denver, CO
20.6%
34.2%
$313,800
16.6%
$62,760
Pittsburgh, PA
10.6%
24.7%
$125,400
1.5%
$25,080
Portland, OR
22.0%
32.8%
$300,900
10.3%
$60,180
Charlotte, NC
13.0%
26.8%
$157,400
3.8%
$31,480
Sacramento, CA
24.8%
32.6%
$337,800
6.5%
$67,560
San Antonio, TX
13.5%
30.3%
$160,100
6.5%
$32,020
Orlando, FL
16.2%
32.8%
$176,500
5.8%
$35,300
Cincinnati, OH
11.1%
26.5%
$139,200
2.7%
$27,840
Cleveland, OH
11.1%
27.4%
$125,000
3.3%
$25,000
Kansas City, MO
11.3%
25.8%
$145,200
5.2%
$29,040
Las Vegas, NV
16.7%
28.0%
$194,600
7.7%
$38,920
Columbus, OH
11.7%
26.8%
$149,600
4.9%
$29,920
Indianapolis, IN
10.9%
26.6%
$128,500
3.5%
$25,700
San Jose, CA
41.6%
41.4%
$911,000
12.5%
$182,200